How Erdogan’s Turkey grew to become NATO’s wild card

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (center), NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg (third from left), Finland's President Sauli Niinisto (fifth from left), Sweden's Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson (sixth from left) and other officials attend a signing ceremony of a memorandum on the Nordic countries' NATO bids in Madrid, Spain on June 28.


Finnish President Sauli Niinistö said that Ankara had agreed to support the membership bids of his country and Sweden, removing a major hurdle to the two joining the alliance.

Turkey has become a headache for NATO. But recent geopolitical events have shown that it’s one the alliance will have to tolerate. Experts say Erdogan knows that well and has used his country’s place in the grouping to serve its national interests.

In a European war that has essentially become a conflict between the Kremlin and NATO, Turkey has positioned itself as a neutral party, opting not to join its allies in sanctioning Russia while offering to mediate between the warring parties. It has supported Ukraine in the war but has been careful not to antagonize Moscow.

Experts say Turkey is today more valuable than ever to NATO. The country sits at the south-eastern flank of the alliance, a key buffer between Russia and the West. It maintains the second-largest army in the alliance after the US, and borders a…